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Betting against public opinion.

 
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zotka
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Registrert: 24.09.2019
Innlegg: 7

InnleggSkrevet: ti. sep. 24, 2019 10:19
Betting against public opinion.
One of the first commandments of the bettor is the refusal to bet on popular markets. Making constant bets on the victory of Barcelona you will not get the expected income. The team will win, the Bank will gradually grow, but one or two unsuccessful games Barcelona "eat" not only profit, but also part of your own money.

Against public opinion

Bookmakers ' odds are fundamentally influenced by public opinion. Bookmakers in the preparation of the line rely not only on the chances of teams, but also on the likely volume of bets players. This leads to the fact that there are "boulder" coefficients in the line, which, however, are very difficult to detect. Even if you see that the coefficients on a certain market sagged, it is not clear why this happened. The movement of quotations can be influenced by objective factors (such as injuries, motivation, weather), the volume of bets of ordinary players and the entry into the game of professional players.

Fortunately, it is possible to roughly understand which markets are popular with players. You can go the easy way and see the volume of betting on the stock exchange https://www.pin-up.bet/ or in a certain bookmaker (some offices show the percentage of the volume of bets on the markets in the line), but this approach will not give us an advantage over the bookmaker. Thus, you will only know the General direction of cash flows to different markets, but you will not be able to understand how much bets were made by ordinary players and what professional bettors.

Ways to understand where ordinary fans will put:
Check out the discussions on the sports forums.
Professional players do not visit them, so all users of such forums understand the sport at the ABC level. Of these players, more than 99% will be at a loss after several hundred bets in bookmakers.
Once you know the cross-section of public opinion, you will understand what results fans expect from teams or athletes. It is these betting markets that will have a low coefficient in the line, whereas opposite outcomes may contain a boulder coefficient (but not always).
Voting and polls.
It is important for you to find out how many fans are willing to bet on the different betting markets as a percentage. The larger the sample size of the survey, the more reliable the result. Next, you need to know how the coefficients would be formed if they were based only on the results of public opinion.
Let's take an example: 60% of players voted for the victory of team 1, for a draw – 25%, for the victory of team 2– 15%. To find out the value of the coefficients, you need to divide 100 by the probability of each outcome. We get the following picture: 100/60=1.66, 100/25=4.00, 100/15=6.66. P1 - 1.66, X – 4.00, P2 – 6.66.
Continue to grimace further you need to compare the results with the real line,
to see if the players really affected the odds change. At the same time there are some nuances that need to be taken into account.
Do not try to find out what players think about global sporting events. It is clear who is the favourite in the England – Australia football match, but it is unclear how much the Australians, who are avid players, will put money on their team. Better for analysis take a local League, like our FNL, which in most cases will bet only residents of Russia. A slice of opinions should be learned in the country from which a significant amount of bets on this market is expected;
Do not trust surveys conducted on highly specialized resources. For example, if the site of FC Zenit will be a survey of how to play Zenit with the Locomotive, it should be borne in mind that the audience of the resource will overestimate the probability of winning Zenit. The desired cross-section of opinions of fans of all clubs, not just Zenit fans.
Summary
Betting against public opinion is one of the keys to success in bookmakers, but you can't always rely on it alone. The volume of players ' bets will only tell you on which shoulder of the line the boulder coefficient can be located, but it is necessary to use other methods of analyzing sports events.
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Wilson
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Registrert: 25.09.2019
Innlegg: 4

InnleggSkrevet: on. sep. 25, 2019 15:45
Betting against public opinion is, in my opinion, very good sports betting in online casinos in order to win. As they say - to beat a bookmaker, you need to think like a bookmaker. It is the game sports betting strategies that become the weapon with which betting fans try to become richer.
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Morseta
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Registrert: 25.09.2019
Innlegg: 6

InnleggSkrevet: on. sep. 25, 2019 19:18
Always bet against public opinion. No matter which team is gaining popularity, just have your point of view on this match and always try to bet against the opinion of the “crowd”.
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Gudvin
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Registrert: 02.10.2019
Innlegg: 6

InnleggSkrevet: on. okt. 02, 2019 08:33
I’ve never visited a bookmaker in my life, but I began to notice that this niche is now very much advertised. Any football match, and not just a football one, is accompanied by information pressure from the side of bookmakers. This does not suit me because my children are watching the match and see this ad. I hope in the future there will be no consequences from this.
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Nika23
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Registrert: 28.09.2019
Innlegg: 3

InnleggSkrevet: on. okt. 02, 2019 09:01
People started betting on sports a long time ago. Even in Ancient Greece and Rome, wagers were made on the winner of the Olympic Games or gladiatorial fights. But then it was rather isolated disputes without a special organization. Later, bets were taken on cockfights and horse races. It was then that the progenitors of the BC appeared - sweepstakes who collected a certain organizational percentage from the sum of all bets, and the balance was divided equally between all those who had guessed the correct outcome of the event. It is logical that such an undertaking began to apply over time to many sectors of activity.
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